Assessing global potential output growth : April 2019 / by Fares Bounajm [and six others]. : FB3-7/2019-13E-PDF

"This note presents the updated estimates of potential output growth for the global economy through 2021. Global potential output is expected to grow by 3.3 per cent per year over the projection horizon. Two common themes are weighing on potential output growth across regions: trade disputes, which are reducing total factor productivity growth in the United States and China; and aging, which is having a negative impact on labour force participation in the United States, China, the euro area and Japan. While potential output growth is expected to remain fairly stable in the United States, there are offsetting dynamics across other regions. In emerging-market economies, potential growth is projected to strengthen, mainly due to a recovery of investment as well as structural reforms contributing to total factor productivity growth. Potential output is expected to slow in Japan, China and the euro area, as the effects on growth of population aging and declining labour inputs intensify in these regions over the next three years. A moderation in investment growth will also contribute to slower potential growth in China"--Abstract, page ii.

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Renseignements sur la publication
Ministère/Organisme Bank of Canada.
Titre Assessing global potential output growth : April 2019 / by Fares Bounajm [and six others].
Titre de la série Staff analytical note = Note analytique du personnel, 2369-9639 ; 2019-13
Type de publication Série - Voir l'enregistrement principal
Langue [Anglais]
Autres langues publiées [Français]
Format Électronique
Document électronique
Note(s) Title from cover.
Issued also in French under title: Évaluation de la croissance de la production potentielle mondiale : avril 2019.
Includes bibliographical references.
Includes abstract in French.
Information sur la publication Ottawa, Ontario, Canada : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, 2019.
©2019
Auteur / Contributeur Bounajm, Fares, author.
Description 1 online resource (ii, 9 pages) : graphs.
Numéro de catalogue
  • FB3-7/2019-13E-PDF
Descripteurs Economic analysis
Economic development
Productivity
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