Prediction of penitentiary population : volume I / by R. Gordon Cassidy, Carolyn Fuller and R. George Hopkinson ; with CANJUS Project Team.: JS3-1/1973-8E-PDF

"This study was undertaken in order to prepare aggregate prediction figures of admittances to federal penitentiaries for the fiscal year 1974-75 for the Canadian Penitentiary Service. The rationale or use of these figures was to be a part of the program budgeting submission to the central agencies for that fiscal year. In undertaking this particular prediction, the Statistics Division felt that it would serve as a pilot project for using its CANJUS planning model--(see reference (2) for description of model methodology and reference (6) for the present form of model) for predictive purposes within the Canadian criminal justice system (see reference (3) for the more general application of the model). The use of the model in such a preliminary form has had both its virtues and its drawbacks. The virtues include the-ability of the model to relate admissions to many other factors in the Criminal Justice System, the drawbacks are mainly the linearity of the model and its preliminary form"--Introduction, page 1.

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