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040 |aCaOODSP|beng|erda|cCaOODSP
043 |an-cn---
0861 |aFB3-5/2026-30E-PDF
1001 |aPapadopoulos, Georgios, |eauthor.
24510|aClimate stress test of the global supply chain network : |bthe case of river floods / |cGeorgios Papadopoulos, Javier Ojea-Ferreiro, Roberto Panzica.
264 1|a[Ottawa] : |bBank of Canada = Banque du Canada, |c2026.
264 4|c©2026
300 |a1 online resource (39 pages) : |bcharts, maps.
336 |atext|btxt|2rdacontent
337 |acomputer|bc|2rdamedia
338 |aonline resource|bcr|2rdacarrier
4901 |aStaff working paper = Document de travail du personnel, |y1701-9397 ; |v2026-30
500 |a"Last updated: September 3, 2026."
500 |aISSN assigned to different series.
504 |aIncludes bibliographical references.
520 |a"This study investigates how extreme flood events can indirectly impact the global supply chain through production disruptions. Using a data-driven, agent-based network model that combines company-level data with flood hazard maps, the research simulates the transmission and amplification of shocks. The findings emphasize that the size of inventories is crucial; a lean-inventory system leads to faster shock propagation, higher losses, and fewer recoveries compared to an abundant-inventory system. Additionally, the study identifies that the number and criticality of flooded companies’ trade links, along with the magnitude of the flood, correlate with the speed and severity of contagion. Interestingly, a key metric - the average criticality of affected firms’ outgoing links - consistently peaks before the shock’s propagation enters a fast-paced contagion regime. This could serve as an early warning indicator, giving businesses and policymakers precious time to react. By identifying these critical vulnerabilities, this research provides a framework for enhancing the resilience of global supply chains in the face of increasing climate-related and other risks"--Abstract, page 1.
650 0|aFloods|xEconomic aspects.
650 0|aSupply chain management.
650 0|aClimatic changes|xEconomic aspects.
650 6|aInondations|xAspect économique.
650 6|aLogistique (Organisation)
650 6|aClimat|xChangements|xAspect économique.
7102 |aBank of Canada, |eissuing body.
830#0|aStaff working paper (Bank of Canada)|v2026-30.|w(CaOODSP)9.806221
85640|qPDF|s9.53 MB|uhttps://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2026/banque-bank-canada/FB3-5-2026-30-eng.pdf