00000cam 2200000zi 4500 9.966909 CaOODSP 20261026161028 m o d f cr cn||||||||| 261019t20262026onca ob f000 0 eng d CaOODSP eng rda CaOODSP n-us--- y0y2 FB3-5/2026-37E-PDF Mayda, Anna Maria, author. Offshoring and voting patterns in the US / Anna Maria Mayda, Lindsay Oldenski, Walter Steingress. [Ottawa] : Bank of Canada = Banque du Canada, 2026. ©2026 1 online resource (47 pages) : colour illustration. text txt rdacontent computer c rdamedia online resource cr rdacarrier Staff working paper = Document de travail du personnel, 1701-9397 ; 2026-37 Incorrect ISSN (1701-9397) printed in this publication. "Last updated: October 16, 2026." Includes bibliographical references (pages 24-27). "This paper studies the impact of offshoring by US firms on voting patterns in the US. Using county-level voting data combined with industry-level offshoring data from 2000 to 2020, we ask whether an increase in employment at foreign affiliates of US multinational firms in vertically oriented industries is associated with an increase in the vote share for the incumbent party candidate in Presidential, House, and Senate elections. We find that offshoring leads to a significant increase in the incumbent vote share for counties with higher shares of college educated workers, and a significant decrease for counties with higher shares of workers in the manufacturing sector and in occupations that are more easily relocated abroad. These results are consistent with the labor market literature on offshoring and our own findings, which show that offshoring has heterogeneous effects on workers' employment based on skill and occupational tasks. This suggests that voters respond to the economic effects of offshoring by rewarding or punishing incumbent party candidates"--Abstract, page 1. Offshore outsourcing Political aspects United States Econometric models. Voting United States Econometric models. Elections United States Econometric models. Impartition à l'étranger Aspect politique États-Unis Modèles économétriques. Vote États-Unis Modèles économétriques. Élections États-Unis Modèles économétriques. Bank of Canada, issuing body. Staff working paper (Bank of Canada) 2026-37. (CaOODSP)9.806221 PDF 1.39 MB https://publications.gc.ca/collections/collection_2026/banque-bank-canada/FB3-5-2026-37-eng.pdf